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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.49M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
64 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
12%
5 more
$1.25M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$1.90M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$179
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$410K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$106
47 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
<50
36%
50-74
33%
3 more
$22K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$69
40 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
45%
December
17%
5 more
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
43 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
83%
20-40
10%
3 more
$214K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
53 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$59K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
31-33
23%
25-27
17%
5 more
$8.9K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
42 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
95%
285M
66%
4 more
$8.7K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
220-229
46%
<220
39%
4 more
$5.3K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
43 trading now
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